Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.689638 3.102111 3.557569 4.097966 4.721947 5.420185 6.261361
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.117699 2.652421 3.293422 4.119160 5.156024 6.416747 8.069109
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.703824 2.292942 3.051566 4.101701 5.520886 7.376996 9.997213
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.349764 1.936548 2.742002 3.931059 5.647390 8.044013 11.661248
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.082529 1.645249 2.463400 3.743455 5.704545 8.610274 13.270590
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.936560 1.500720 2.365474 3.792801 6.103015 9.718794 15.853474
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.789778 1.328176 2.194283 3.695663 6.251352 10.457793 17.974012
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.728738 1.282434 2.214519 3.906605 6.927121 12.140573 21.924083
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.664752 1.220261 2.195741 4.044465 7.494262 13.718989 25.948727
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.592411 1.131068 2.114929 4.055965 7.831326 14.932464 29.497309
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.503725 0.997472 1.932869 3.848533 7.721142 15.292723 31.458761
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.470280 0.964864 1.935752 3.997797 8.326191 17.114868 36.630986
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.445309 0.947448 1.969755 4.223696 9.141516 19.522998 43.528256
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.408909 0.900782 1.937736 4.307356 9.673102 21.431241 49.699284
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.371549 0.846233 1.881009 4.328479 10.071959 23.118712 55.684904
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.325546 0.765233 1.754589 4.172295 10.041531 23.837408 59.526251
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.284036 0.688065 1.625105 3.987534 9.911528 24.299112 62.815652
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.263512 0.657687 1.599723 4.049497 10.393699 26.311552 70.404226
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.235985 0.605893 1.515458 3.951447 10.456196 27.290132 75.461586
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.228962 0.604899 1.556245 4.181100 11.410854 30.717102 87.815478
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.218214 0.592548 1.566379 4.331342 12.177828 33.774082 99.711036
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.202158 0.563517 1.528727 4.345279 12.569759 35.871083 109.218211
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.178023 0.508595 1.413715 4.123780 12.252831 35.919918 112.592210